Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | PAC -800 LAM +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +1 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | PAC -1.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -1.1 (-0.1) | 144.8 (+8.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -0.5 (+0.5) | 142.5 (+10.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -0.9 (+0.1) | 143.7 (+9.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -0.3 (+0.7) | 145.9 (+7.1) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2022 | PAC 74 – 65 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 0-16 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-12 | 11-3 |
| Away | 1-13 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L23 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.4 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#325) | -2.3 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#289) | -0.26 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#309) | -0.29 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#213) | 0.479 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.2% | 35.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 46.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 17.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 42.5% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 19.8% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.3% | 36.2% |
Game Analysis
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