Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | LAM +650 PAC -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +9 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | PAC -8.3 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -6.1 (-2.9) | 144.6 (-5.6) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -7.3 (-1.7) | 149.3 (-10.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -6.7 (-2.3) | 150.7 (-11.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -7.7 (-1.3) | 149.2 (-10.2) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2023 | PAC 77 – 76 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-9 |
| Home | 6-9 | 7-10 |
| Away | 2-12 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 78.4 |
| Massey | -15.0 (#353) | -1.8 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.82 (#346) | -1.20 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.28 (#355) | -1.41 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.337 (#358) | 0.405 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 24.3% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 13.7% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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