Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | TULN -600 SAC +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +35 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -9.5 (+25.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -10.3 (+24.7) | 148.1 (+0.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -13.2 (+21.8) | 149.6 (-0.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -12.0 (+23.0) | 149.9 (-0.9) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 10-24 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-6 | 6-8 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#169) | -0.2 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#68) | -0.67 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#68) | -0.85 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#126) | 0.521 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.2% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 20.5% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 38.0% | 13.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 8.0% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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