You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Abessinio Court at Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena · November 18, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread FAU -23.5 Away covered
O/U 156.5 Under
Money FAU -10000 / BRY +2000
Model Predictions
Spread Total FAU win
Actual BRY +9 113 Lost
Massey FAU -25.1 (-34.1) — —
Massey Totals — 150.6 (-37.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FAU -20.6 (-29.6) 141.7 (-28.7) 87% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML FAU -19.8 (-28.8) 145.7 (-32.7) 90% ✗
Baseline ML FAU -24.9 (-33.9) 145.7 (-32.7) 89% ✗
Baseline Plus ML FAU -23.9 (-32.9) 145.7 (-32.7) 88% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 18, 2022 FAU 85 – 74 BRY

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FAU BRY
Overall 25-9 20-13
Conference 14-4 11-5
Home 13-1 11-3
Away 5-5 8-10
Neutral 7-3 1-0
Last 5 2-0 0-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 82.0 75.8
Avg Pts Against 73.4 75.3
Massey 10.9 (#23) -5.4 (#275)
Bradley-Terry 1.03 (#95) -2.35 (#340)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.44 (#97) -3.16 (#334)
RPI 0.632 (#69) 0.212 (#347)
Shooting & Four Factors FAU BRY
FG% 55.0% 39.0%
3PT% 43.8% 35.8%
REB / G 36.0 33.7
OREB / G 10.0 7.3
AST / TO 2.05 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 63.7% 45.8%
TOV% 14.7% 16.7%
ORB% 34.5% 18.8%
FT Rate 18.3% 18.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.7% 44.4%
Opp TOV% 22.1% 16.3%
DRB% 77.6% 64.8%
Opp FT Rate 20.0% 29.3%

Game Analysis

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