Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | FAU -333 BRY +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +11 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -3.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -4.0 (+7.0) | 147.7 (+11.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -4.5 (+6.5) | 150.2 (+8.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -3.6 (+7.4) | 150.2 (+8.8) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2023 | BRY 61 – 52 FAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-4 | 17-13 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 8-8 |
| Home | 17-0 | 9-4 |
| Away | 11-3 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#75) | 11.5 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#34) | 1.68 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.53 (#38) | 2.52 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.758 (#19) | 0.438 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 52.5% |
| 3PT% | 46.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 9.2% | 37.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 29.0% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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