Wake Forest
Demon Deacons
71
–
61
FINAL
Neutral
Shriners Children's Charleston Classic
Towson
Tigers
Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | WAKE -205 TOW +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +10 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -0.9 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -0.1 (+9.9) | 131.7 (+0.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -0.9 (+10.9) | 136.8 (-4.8) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -0.4 (+10.4) | 137.5 (-5.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -0.5 (+10.5) | 134.3 (-2.3) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 16, 2022 | WAKE 74 – 64 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 17-2 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-6 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 64.2 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#130) | 3.3 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#258) | 0.43 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#248) | 0.58 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#272) | 0.477 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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