Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | WAKE -400 TOW +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -7.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -5.3 (+4.7) | 143.6 (-5.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -6.1 (+3.9) | 144.9 (-6.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -6.7 (+3.3) | 145.6 (-7.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -6.6 (+3.4) | 143.1 (-5.1) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2023 | WAKE 71 – 61 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 18-2 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 11-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 62.4 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#33) | 7.0 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#59) | 1.35 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#56) | 1.57 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#86) | 0.560 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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