Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Under |
| Money | GW -550 UNH +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +12 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | GW -13.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -9.0 (+3.0) | 153.5 (-7.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -9.5 (+2.5) | 144.5 (+1.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -12.7 (-0.7) | 145.0 (+1.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -11.5 (+0.5) | 150.0 (-4.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2022 | GW 75 – 54 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-9 |
| Home | 12-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 1-9 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#90) | 0.3 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#109) | -0.21 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#111) | -0.22 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#127) | 0.458 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 42.7 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 18.4% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.2% | 43.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 9.8% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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