Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | GW -600 UNH +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +21 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | GW -6.5 (+14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -4.0 (+17.0) | 140.6 (-11.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -3.7 (+17.3) | 144.1 (-15.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -4.4 (+16.6) | 143.7 (-14.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -3.2 (+17.8) | 143.4 (-14.4) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2023 | GW 79 – 67 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-7 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#277) | -5.1 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#293) | -0.26 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.74 (#304) | 0.53 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#282) | 0.459 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 11.5% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 33.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.