I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–21 on winners spread MAE 9.9 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Bryant @ Boston University +3.7 127.8 62% 79–95 ✓
NJIT @ American University +15.8 138.2 89% 73–87 ✓
Presbyterian @ North Florida +3.7 142.4 57% 81–69 ✗
Furman @ Liberty +2.2 148.2 60% 74–88 ✓
Wright State @ Indiana +8.7 146.4 79% 80–89 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UCF +11.7 141.1 83% 44–72 ✓
Texas Southern @ Virginia +20.1 130.8 90% 33–62 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ UL Monroe -0.2 138.0 51% 73–63 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Texas Tech +15.9 130.2 86% 64–73 ✓
Alcorn State @ UAB +12.0 148.6 86% 77–80 ✓
Chicago State @ Southern Illinois +17.3 141.8 88% 55–71 ✓
Nicholls @ South Alabama +1.2 135.5 50% 102–97 ✗
Jackson State @ Tulsa +13.6 145.4 85% 52–72 ✓
UT Arlington @ New Mexico +14.2 144.2 84% 80–82 ✓
Missouri @ Minnesota +11.3 144.8 83% 70–68 ✗
Auburn @ Notre Dame -3.2 143.7 37% 83–59 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Arizona State -5.4 132.0 25% 69–71 ✗
William & Mary @ Omaha -5.6 145.9 28% 83–89 ✗
Utah @ Wake Forest -6.0 152.7 27% 77–70 ✓
North Dakota State @ Montana +8.1 140.2 78% 78–69 ✗
Montana State @ California +1.9 146.9 46% 63–60 ✗
Niagara @ Hawai'i — — — 73–92 —
Sacred Heart @ UMBC -0.5 155.6 41% 80–85 ✗
North Texas @ LSU +2.4 135.9 61% 62–66 ✓
Vermont @ Saint Louis -1.4 137.4 45% 78–68 ✓
Norfolk State @ Fordham -2.2 138.7 38% 64–77 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Georgia State +7.1 152.5 76% 70–64 ✗
St. John's @ Dayton +3.5 133.1 65% 81–88 ✓
VMI @ South Dakota -0.2 147.6 48% 81–85 ✗
Charleston @ Wyoming +1.6 141.9 57% 60–67 ✓
Georgia @ Miami +4.1 147.2 70% 68–79 ✓
Abilene Christian @ San José State +2.6 130.5 63% 77–71 ✗
Denver @ South Alabama +1.8 151.2 54% 75–82 ✓
Lindenwood @ Omaha +6.2 141.4 73% 72–70 ✗
Weber State @ Gardner-Webb -5.8 133.5 27% 61–62 ✗
Maine @ Presbyterian +4.5 137.0 72% 80–66 ✗
Houston @ Utah -4.8 131.7 29% 76–66 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Northern Arizona -9.4 142.9 19% 77–67 ✓
Notre Dame @ Oklahoma State +1.2 132.9 56% 66–64 ✗
Holy Cross @ Winthrop +0.2 140.7 48% 51–89 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Army +0.2 138.5 51% 67–58 ✗
Bucknell @ Duke +16.9 140.1 88% 60–90 ✓
Delaware State @ Grambling +2.9 141.2 61% 71–63 ✗
Hampton @ Kent State -0.7 155.9 48% 62–100 ✗
Colgate @ Yale +3.0 144.8 65% 50–68 ✓
Providence @ Kansas State -3.5 139.9 31% 70–73 ✗
Butler @ Michigan State -3.7 133.8 30% 54–74 ✗
William & Mary @ Air Force +5.4 139.8 70% 71–80 ✓
Utah Tech @ Youngstown State +0.3 142.8 49% 68–75 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Furman +6.8 154.0 77% 80–89 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.