Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -3300 AMCC +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +9 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -17.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -15.9 (-6.9) | 130.2 (+6.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -20.2 (-11.2) | 129.7 (+7.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -16.4 (-7.4) | 128.6 (+8.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2020 | TTU 77 – 57 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 68.9 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#65) | -1.6 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#62) | -0.12 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#38) | -0.06 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.734 (#32) | 0.639 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 29.7% |
| 3PT% | 20.5% | 23.8% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 33.6% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 10.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 35.4% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 59.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 2.5% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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