Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -10000 AMCC +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +20 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -27.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -18.5 (+1.5) | 132.3 (+1.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -16.8 (+3.2) | 130.4 (+3.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -20.4 (-0.4) | 129.6 (+4.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -23.0 (-3.0) | 134.5 (-0.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2023 | TTU 73 – 64 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 2-13 |
| Home | 11-4 | 4-8 |
| Away | 5-4 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.2 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 14.9 (#11) | -12.5 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#38) | -2.97 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.06 (#32) | -4.55 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#76) | 0.363 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 35.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 24.4% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 40.7% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 26.3% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 35.2% | 33.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.6% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.2% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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