Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MSU -480 BUT +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSU +20 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | BUT -4.9 (+24.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUT -4.0 (+24.0) | 138.3 (-10.3) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUT -3.7 (+23.7) | 133.8 (-5.8) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUT -5.6 (+25.6) | 135.5 (-7.5) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUT -4.0 (+24.0) | 141.7 (-13.7) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2021 | MSU 73 – 52 BUT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSU | BUT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#191) | 13.2 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#330) | 0.86 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.62 (#324) | 1.23 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#241) | 0.514 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSU | BUT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 16.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 35.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 14.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.