Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -15.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
| Money | IU -1700 WRST +950 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +9 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | IU -10.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (+15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -9.2 (-0.2) | 146.7 (+22.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -8.7 (+0.3) | 146.4 (+22.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -10.2 (-1.2) | 145.9 (+23.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -10.2 (-1.2) | 142.1 (+26.9) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-6 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 86.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 82.8 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#247) | -4.7 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#125) | -1.53 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#131) | -1.57 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#218) | 0.542 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.5% | 52.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.1% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 42.0% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 63.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 4.1% | 13.7% |
Game Analysis
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