Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | WYO +196 COFC -240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +7 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -3.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -0.1 (+6.9) | 141.6 (-14.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -1.6 (+5.4) | 141.9 (-14.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -2.0 (+5.0) | 144.1 (-17.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -1.4 (+5.6) | 145.4 (-18.4) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-10 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#270) | -7.4 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#214) | -0.38 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#213) | -0.48 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#226) | 0.638 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 25.6% | 18.8% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 39.0% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 78.3% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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