Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -2000 ALCN +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -17.8 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -12.1 (-9.1) | 148.7 (+8.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -12.6 (-9.6) | 148.2 (+8.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -12.0 (-9.0) | 148.6 (+8.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -14.7 (-11.7) | 146.6 (+10.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | UAB 91 – 74 ALCN |
| Nov 25, 2020 | UAB 99 – 50 ALCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-5 | 7-3 |
| Away | 7-5 | 7-14 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 77.9 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#185) | -9.3 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#217) | -1.36 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#189) | -2.33 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#95) | 0.271 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.0% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 40.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 65.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 61.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
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