Oklahoma State
Cowboys
64
–
66
OT
FINAL
Neutral
Vivid Seats Legends Classic
Notre Dame
Fighting Irish
Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | OKST -345 ND +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ND +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | OKST -2.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -3.6 (-5.6) | 130.1 (-0.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -1.2 (-3.2) | 132.9 (-2.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -1.5 (-3.5) | 132.2 (-2.2) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -1.6 (-3.6) | 131.3 (-1.3) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-8 | 9-8 |
| Away | 1-9 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#285) | -7.4 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#338) | -0.81 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#322) | -1.25 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.314 (#297) | 0.450 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | ND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 25.6% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 10.6% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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