Betting Lines
| Spread | SJSU -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | SJSU -135 ACU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | SJSU -5.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJSU -2.6 (-8.6) | 130.5 (+17.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJSU -2.6 (-8.6) | 130.5 (+17.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SJSU -2.4 (-8.4) | 131.6 (+16.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJSU -1.1 (-7.1) | 131.7 (+16.3) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 10-10 |
| Home | 6-9 | 8-6 |
| Away | 1-12 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#135) | -3.0 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#82) | -0.65 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#62) | -0.48 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.729 (#34) | 0.457 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 23.9% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.5% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 36.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.