Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | FUR -650 CCU +460 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +9 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -10.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -6.8 (+2.2) | 154.0 (+15.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -8.2 (+0.8) | 152.9 (+16.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -8.4 (+0.6) | 159.4 (+9.6) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-3 | 7-11 |
| Away | 3-10 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#85) | -5.0 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#97) | -1.29 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#95) | -1.76 (#282) |
| RPI | 1.000 (#1) | 0.688 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.1% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 41.4% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 51.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.79 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.3% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.1% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.3% | 9.6% |
| DRB% | 84.1% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 14.1% |
Game Analysis
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