Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | MINN +122 MIZ -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +2 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | MINN -15.7 (-17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -5.9 (-7.9) | 147.0 (-9.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -11.3 (-13.3) | 144.8 (-6.8) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -11.3 (-13.3) | 144.6 (-6.6) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -9.9 (-11.9) | 147.4 (-9.4) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2025 | MIZ 83 – 60 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 0-18 |
| Home | 16-4 | 6-11 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L19 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#57) | 0.4 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#103) | 0.46 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#102) | 1.06 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.667 (#58) | 0.641 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.5% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 41.3% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.9% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 54.5% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.5% | 43.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.5% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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