We need the funk. "Give Up the Funk" - Parliament
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–15 on winners spread MAE 10.8 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Denver @ Nicholls +1.5 155.8 57% 91–85 ✗
Delaware @ Delaware State -7.5 134.7 21% 78–67 ✓
Canisius @ Cleveland State +7.6 147.8 74% 61–71 ✓
Richmond @ Boston College +5.9 147.7 72% 61–68 ✓
Coppin State @ Louisville +9.5 147.3 81% 41–61 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Fairleigh Dickinson -1.2 138.1 44% 70–71 ✗
Princeton @ Duquesne +5.7 142.3 66% 70–67 ✗
Utah Valley @ Charlotte +0.1 137.4 40% 45–62 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ East Carolina +15.6 145.4 87% 83–81 ✗
Merrimack @ Ohio State +4.2 138.4 64% 52–76 ✓
Central Michigan @ South Florida +24.6 146.9 91% 68–63 ✗
Radford @ VCU +0.1 139.1 47% 50–73 ✓
Binghamton @ Loyola Maryland +8.9 145.4 81% 63–57 ✗
Cornell @ George Mason +7.1 138.8 69% 83–90 ✓
Evansville @ Southeast Missouri State +1.8 142.8 59% 76–57 ✗
Florida International @ Houston Christian +2.0 151.5 52% 83–74 ✗
Longwood @ Maryland Eastern Shore +3.4 147.6 66% 80–61 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Illinois State +11.1 145.8 85% 61–69 ✓
Stony Brook @ Nebraska +17.3 134.5 88% 63–84 ✓
Georgetown @ Rutgers +5.5 133.1 70% 60–71 ✓
Rice @ Texas +19.6 149.4 89% 64–80 ✓
SE Louisiana @ BYU +19.1 147.7 89% 48–105 ✓
Tennessee State @ Portland — — — 75–65 —
Northern Arizona @ Seattle U +14.5 133.8 87% 62–60 ✗
Long Island University @ UCLA +20.2 131.5 90% 58–78 ✓
Pacific @ Nevada +13.3 142.5 87% 39–88 ✓
Morgan State @ Fresno State +13.4 150.1 85% 68–87 ✓
Charleston @ Vermont +5.7 138.0 73% 64–73 ✓
St. John's @ North Texas +2.8 145.3 63% 53–52 ✗
Saint Louis @ Wyoming +1.8 141.1 57% 79–69 ✗
Northwestern State @ Maine +1.9 139.4 59% 65–78 ✓
Dayton @ LSU +2.6 139.6 59% 70–67 ✗
Wichita State @ Coastal Carolina — — — 86–77 —
Denver @ SIU Edwardsville -6.4 139.6 25% 74–77 ✗
Oklahoma State @ St. Bonaventure -1.6 136.6 43% 64–66 ✗
Lindenwood @ Air Force +18.2 136.0 90% 58–76 ✓
Houston @ Towson -9.1 122.8 22% 65–49 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.