Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -23.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.0 Under |
| Money | BYU -3500 SELA +1350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +57 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -21.6 (+35.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -19.1 (+37.9) | 147.7 (+5.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -24.3 (+32.7) | 150.1 (+2.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -27.1 (+29.9) | 150.0 (+3.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 16-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#30) | -1.7 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#67) | -0.86 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#59) | -1.34 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.969 (#6) | 0.250 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 50.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.74 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 12.4% |
| ORB% | 40.2% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 89.5% | 60.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.6% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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