Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | ILST -900 EIU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +8 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | ILST -19.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -11.1 (-3.1) | 145.8 (-15.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -12.3 (-4.3) | 146.4 (-16.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -9.1 (-1.1) | 145.6 (-15.6) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2022 | ILST 54 – 49 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#208) | -11.0 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#219) | -1.71 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#218) | -2.68 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#169) | 0.250 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 31.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 15.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 35.5% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 12.9% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 13.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 64.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 90.9% | 79.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 57.7% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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