Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | EIU +400 ILST -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +5 | 103 | Lost |
| Massey | EIU -16.2 (-21.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (-38.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -3.8 (-8.8) | 141.9 (-38.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -5.9 (-10.9) | 139.2 (-36.2) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2023 | ILST 69 – 61 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-14 |
| Home | 6-9 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-12 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#238) | -6.0 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#172) | -1.98 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#234) | -2.60 (#266) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.0% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 20.0% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 46.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.50 | 0.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 37.5% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 37.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 5.8% |
| DRB% | 50.0% | 87.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 10.8% |
Game Analysis
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