Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE -120 DEN +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +3 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | DEN -8.3 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEN -6.8 (+9.8) | 139.8 (+11.2) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEN -6.4 (+9.4) | 139.6 (+11.4) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEN -5.7 (+8.7) | 139.8 (+11.2) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEN -7.6 (+10.6) | 139.7 (+11.3) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 82.1 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#277) | 3.3 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#280) | 0.02 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#278) | 0.08 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.271 (#307) | 0.500 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 30.0% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 41.0% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 44.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 34.5% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 44.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 48.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 10.3% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.