Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
| Money | DUQ -225 PRIN +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +3 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | DUQ -5.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -6.0 (-9.0) | 141.7 (-4.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -8.3 (-11.3) | 143.2 (-6.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -5.7 (-8.7) | 142.3 (-5.3) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | PRIN 75 – 68 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 24-5 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-2 |
| Home | 13-4 | 12-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#117) | 8.0 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#27) | 2.21 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.01 (#27) | 3.04 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.792 (#21) | 0.667 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 13.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.