Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ +200 PRIN -240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +7 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -2.8 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.2 (-24.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -1.9 (-5.1) | 143.4 (-0.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -1.2 (-5.8) | 145.0 (-2.0) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2023 | PRIN 70 – 67 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 19-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-6 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#266) | -5.1 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#288) | 0.38 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.39 (#290) | 0.23 (#144) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 55.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 25.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 62.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.5% | 58.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 88.9% | 59.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.5% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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