Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
| Money | RUTG -480 GTWN +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +11 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -10.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -8.9 (+2.1) | 135.0 (-4.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -5.5 (+5.5) | 133.1 (-2.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -8.3 (+2.7) | 133.7 (-2.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -6.8 (+4.2) | 132.3 (-1.3) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 2-18 |
| Home | 12-5 | 7-12 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 77.9 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#132) | 1.5 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#185) | -2.66 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#186) | -3.21 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#262) | 0.148 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 24.6% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 44.7 | 41.5 |
| OREB / G | 15.3 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.6% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 38.7% | 38.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.