Ich lieb dich nicht; Du liebst mich nicht. "Da da da" - Trio
Moody Center · November 16, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -21.0 Away covered
O/U 155.5 Under
Money TEX -2400 / RICE +1150
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual TEX +16 144 Won
Massey TEX -24.4 (-8.4) — —
Massey Totals — 154.8 (-10.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -19.6 (-3.6) 149.4 (-5.4) 89% ✓
Baseline ML TEX -25.4 (-9.4) 147.1 (-3.1) 89% ✓
Baseline Plus ML TEX -19.8 (-3.8) 147.0 (-3.0) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 13, 2022 TEX 87 – 81 RICE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX RICE
Overall 21-13 11-21
Conference 9-9 5-13
Home 14-4 6-10
Away 4-6 5-7
Neutral 3-3 0-4
Last 5 2-0 0-1
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 75.4 71.1
Avg Pts Against 68.9 76.3
Massey 7.8 (#47) -6.7 (#299)
Bradley-Terry 0.71 (#120) -1.64 (#320)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.01 (#115) -2.39 (#314)
RPI 0.500 (#169) 0.625 (#83)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX RICE
FG% 51.7% 41.7%
3PT% 45.8% 33.3%
REB / G 40.5 33.0
OREB / G 9.5 12.0
AST / TO 1.27 1.56
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 61.2% 48.3%
TOV% 21.9% 12.8%
ORB% 30.6% 29.3%
FT Rate 27.6% 30.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 37.5% 59.2%
Opp TOV% 25.0% 13.9%
DRB% 72.9% 70.0%
Opp FT Rate 24.1% 30.0%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.