He is handing the money / He is serving the food / He knows about your party / He is calling you dude. "Comfort Eagle" - Cake
Moody Center · December 13, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -23.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual TEX +6 168 Won
Massey TEX -30.1 (-24.1) — —
Massey Totals — 144.5 (+23.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TEX -24.3 (-18.3) 146.5 (+21.5) 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -21.6 (-15.6) 148.6 (+19.4) 90% ✓
Baseline ML TEX -23.6 (-17.6) 150.9 (+17.1) 90% ✓
Baseline Plus ML TEX -24.2 (-18.2) 147.5 (+20.5) 91% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 16, 2023 TEX 80 – 64 RICE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX RICE
Overall 29-9 19-16
Conference 12-6 8-12
Home 17-1 11-7
Away 4-6 6-7
Neutral 8-2 2-2
Last 5 4-1 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 78.0 75.2
Avg Pts Against 67.8 78.6
Massey 17.6 (#5) -7.2 (#296)
Bradley-Terry 1.88 (#49) 0.66 (#123)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.63 (#45) 0.76 (#130)
RPI 0.576 (#70) 0.492 (#191)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX RICE
FG% 48.8% 47.2%
3PT% 30.6% 34.1%
REB / G 40.2 31.9
OREB / G 11.9 6.9
AST / TO 1.51 1.31
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.4% 55.0%
TOV% 16.3% 17.7%
ORB% 31.7% 21.2%
FT Rate 18.0% 28.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 41.7% 58.5%
Opp TOV% 26.0% 16.8%
DRB% 73.0% 78.1%
Opp FT Rate 19.0% 15.0%

Game Analysis

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