You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–15 on winners spread MAE 11.5 56 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Mississippi Valley State @ UConn +25.8 152.5 91% 53–87 ✓
Duke @ Michigan State -3.8 134.9 36% 74–65 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Florida Atlantic +17.5 141.0 88% 57–100 ✓
Mercer @ Morehead State -3.0 141.0 32% 66–74 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Jacksonville +5.5 136.2 70% 68–85 ✓
Bellarmine @ Chattanooga +15.6 143.9 89% 64–72 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Indiana State +0.0 143.4 40% 57–96 ✓
Lipscomb @ Tennessee Tech +2.7 140.2 63% 96–65 ✗
Temple @ Drexel +3.6 142.5 60% 66–64 ✗
Saint Francis @ Penn State +19.6 130.5 88% 53–83 ✓
Bowling Green @ Oakland +2.7 134.5 59% 62–81 ✓
Colgate @ Syracuse +13.7 149.2 85% 75–79 ✓
Wagner @ Rhode Island +9.7 145.5 78% 53–69 ✓
High Point @ Queens University -1.6 157.0 44% 72–74 ✗
Northeastern @ Harvard +14.8 149.1 87% 56–80 ✓
Hofstra @ George Washington +19.0 146.9 89% 60–71 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Holy Cross +7.4 148.3 76% 84–77 ✗
Toledo @ Wright State -2.3 155.4 39% 78–77 ✓
Stonehill @ Saint Joseph's +18.2 134.0 89% 56–100 ✓
Florida A&M @ Florida +20.4 148.8 91% 68–89 ✓
Jacksonville State @ West Virginia +5.7 139.3 68% 57–70 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Virginia +23.3 143.3 91% 51–80 ✓
Brown @ New Hampshire +6.7 143.0 73% 64–82 ✓
Boston University @ Howard +9.0 142.0 80% 53–64 ✓
North Alabama @ Mississippi State +10.8 145.2 82% 54–81 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Georgia Tech +0.4 141.9 45% 74–71 ✗
Marquette @ Illinois +3.3 139.8 59% 71–64 ✗
Texas A&M @ SMU +5.1 138.2 61% 79–66 ✗
South Alabama @ Alabama +9.5 144.5 76% 46–102 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Abilene Christian +7.1 138.5 77% 79–74 ✗
Alcorn State @ Arkansas State +7.2 152.2 77% 86–100 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Vanderbilt +2.7 146.6 55% 70–74 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Ole Miss +14.6 136.8 88% 69–70 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Murray State +5.9 143.0 69% 86–81 ✗
Green Bay @ Valparaiso +4.0 131.0 65% 59–64 ✓
Colorado State @ Northern Colorado — — — 83–64 —
Tarleton State @ Bradley +7.3 140.7 75% 63–86 ✓
Texas State @ Oklahoma +7.7 135.0 73% 54–93 ✓
UTSA @ Lamar +10.7 148.6 85% 82–90 ✓
Western Michigan @ Northwestern +12.5 141.5 85% 59–63 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ TCU +20.9 155.0 91% 55–88 ✓
UIC @ Loyola Chicago +5.4 141.3 67% 72–67 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Chicago State +1.6 139.0 53% 74–64 ✗
Milwaukee @ Colorado +15.6 147.7 87% 79–106 ✓
South Dakota @ DePaul -5.7 150.6 27% 60–72 ✗
Southern Utah @ Utah State +7.1 144.7 75% 84–93 ✓
Santa Clara @ Stanford +8.3 148.6 77% 89–77 ✗
Kentucky @ Kansas +4.8 149.2 70% 84–89 ✓
Iowa @ Creighton +6.9 158.3 74% 84–92 ✓
Kansas City @ Baylor — — — 61–99 —
Long Beach State @ San Diego State +9.4 141.7 79% 76–88 ✓
Jackson State @ Loyola Marymount +4.3 150.5 64% 66–88 ✓
App State @ Oregon State +5.9 149.9 71% 71–81 ✓
UC Irvine @ USC +12.8 148.3 84% 70–60 ✗
Campbell @ Virginia Tech +16.8 137.9 87% 44–60 ✓
UAlbany @ Seton Hall +15.2 141.6 87% 71–96 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.