Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | HARV -163 NE +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +24 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | HARV -19.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | HARV -14.8 (+9.2) | 149.1 (-13.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -16.9 (+7.1) | 148.6 (-12.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | NE 77 – 60 HARV |
| Nov 14, 2024 | NE 78 – 56 HARV |
| Nov 17, 2022 | HARV 70 – 69 NE |
| Nov 27, 2021 | HARV 77 – 57 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#37) | -0.9 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#28) | 0.10 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#26) | 0.16 (#164) |
| RPI | — | 0.503 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.3% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.2% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.8% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 12.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.