Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | NE +120 HARV -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +1 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -3.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -2.0 (-3.0) | 144.3 (-5.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | HARV -0.8 (-0.2) | 141.3 (-2.3) | 52% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | NE -0.8 (-1.8) | 145.0 (-6.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NE -1.5 (-2.5) | 145.8 (-6.8) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | NE 77 – 60 HARV |
| Nov 14, 2024 | NE 78 – 56 HARV |
| Nov 15, 2023 | HARV 80 – 56 NE |
| Nov 27, 2021 | HARV 77 – 57 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 14-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-9 |
| Home | 6-6 | 5-7 |
| Away | 3-12 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#285) | -0.3 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#259) | -0.00 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#260) | -0.03 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.333 (#293) | 0.500 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 34.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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