Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | NE -130 HARV +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +22 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | NE -7.0 (+15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (-19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -5.2 (+16.8) | 146.3 (-12.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -3.1 (+18.9) | 140.7 (-6.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -5.5 (+16.5) | 144.5 (-10.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -4.6 (+17.4) | 148.5 (-14.5) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | NE 77 – 60 HARV |
| Nov 15, 2023 | HARV 80 – 56 NE |
| Nov 17, 2022 | HARV 70 – 69 NE |
| Nov 27, 2021 | HARV 77 – 57 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-7 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#222) | 0.5 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#190) | -0.50 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#181) | -0.83 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#234) | 0.366 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 56.9% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.8% | 57.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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