Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
| Money | HARV -135 NE +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +20 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | HARV -4.6 (+15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -3.7 (+16.3) | 135.2 (-1.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -3.3 (+16.7) | 134.5 (-0.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -3.7 (+16.3) | 134.2 (-0.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -3.3 (+16.7) | 134.9 (-0.9) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | NE 77 – 60 HARV |
| Nov 14, 2024 | NE 78 – 56 HARV |
| Nov 15, 2023 | HARV 80 – 56 NE |
| Nov 17, 2022 | HARV 70 – 69 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-13 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 2-16 |
| Home | 9-6 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#153) | 3.5 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#180) | 0.90 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#185) | 1.24 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#203) | 0.534 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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