Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | HARV -230 NE +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +17 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | HARV -7.0 (-24.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (-18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | HARV -6.0 (-23.0) | 145.1 (-8.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -5.9 (-22.9) | 146.0 (-9.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -5.1 (-22.1) | 150.2 (-13.2) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2024 | NE 78 – 56 HARV |
| Nov 15, 2023 | HARV 80 – 56 NE |
| Nov 17, 2022 | HARV 70 – 69 NE |
| Nov 27, 2021 | HARV 77 – 57 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 2-16 |
| Home | 8-4 | 2-10 |
| Away | 9-6 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 81.0 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#261) | 0.9 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#146) | -0.39 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#147) | -0.22 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#136) | 0.312 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.4% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 50.0% | 21.4% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 63.4% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 18.5% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 83.3% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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