Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 167.0 Over |
| Money | CREI -800 IOWA +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +8 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -10.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -7.9 (+0.1) | 160.6 (+15.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -6.9 (+1.1) | 158.3 (+17.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -9.0 (-1.0) | 159.4 (+16.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -9.0 (-1.0) | 157.6 (+18.4) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-4 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 83.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#7) | 14.3 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#102) | 0.86 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#101) | 1.35 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#114) | 0.719 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 58.7% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 45.5% | 39.6% |
| REB / G | 44.5 | 46.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.86 | 3.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 71.1% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 8.3% |
| ORB% | 43.6% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.5% | 41.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.9% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 84.4% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 8.9% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.