Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | OAK -138 BGSU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +19 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -9.7 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -2.6 (+16.4) | 132.6 (+10.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -2.7 (+16.3) | 134.5 (+8.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -2.3 (+16.7) | 134.1 (+8.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -2.5 (+16.5) | 135.3 (+7.7) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | BGSU 87 – 82 OAK |
| Dec 8, 2021 | BGSU 73 – 72 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#152) | 2.2 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#308) | 0.68 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#301) | 1.01 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.312 (#264) | 0.500 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 42.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 10.7% |
Game Analysis
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