Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +1 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -7.7 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -3.7 (+4.7) | 148.1 (-3.1) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -5.0 (+6.0) | 145.3 (-0.3) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -5.7 (+6.7) | 146.1 (-1.1) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -5.5 (+6.5) | 147.8 (-2.8) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2023 | OAK 81 – 62 BGSU |
| Nov 12, 2022 | BGSU 87 – 82 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 12-7 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#253) | 8.2 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#231) | 2.70 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#234) | 3.03 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#231) | 0.652 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 14.5% |
Game Analysis
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