Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -18.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.0 Over |
| Money | COLO -2000 MILW +1050 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +27 | 185 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -18.2 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (+31.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -15.6 (+11.4) | 147.7 (+37.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -20.7 (+6.3) | 147.4 (+37.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -18.5 (+8.5) | 147.7 (+37.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2021 | COLO 65 – 54 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 16-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 79.5 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#32) | 1.2 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#54) | -0.42 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#46) | -0.58 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.917 (#11) | 0.562 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.0% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 45.0% | 17.6% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.9% | 40.2% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 40.4% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 32.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 56.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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