Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +11 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -16.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -16.6 (-5.6) | 135.9 (-16.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -11.5 (-0.5) | 136.4 (-17.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -11.8 (-0.8) | 135.6 (-16.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -11.2 (-0.2) | 135.0 (-16.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2023 | COLO 106 – 79 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-14 |
| Home | 12-6 | 6-10 |
| Away | 6-4 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#123) | -8.8 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#106) | -2.72 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#117) | -3.38 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#91) | 0.344 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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