Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | UNH +220 BRWN -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +18 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -13.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -6.7 (+11.3) | 143.0 (+3.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -6.8 (+11.2) | 142.7 (+3.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -5.6 (+12.4) | 147.8 (-1.8) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | BRWN 59 – 47 UNH |
| Nov 16, 2024 | BRWN 76 – 58 UNH |
| Dec 22, 2022 | BRWN 67 – 51 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 8-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 5-7 |
| Away | 7-10 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#164) | -2.3 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#193) | -2.48 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#191) | -3.34 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#27) | 0.000 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.8% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 25.8% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 45.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 16.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.6% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.8% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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