Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UNH +205 BRWN -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +12 | 106 | Lost |
| Massey | UNH -1.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (-25.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -1.5 (-13.5) | 133.4 (-27.4) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -1.8 (-13.8) | 133.3 (-27.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -2.4 (-14.4) | 134.9 (-28.9) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -2.7 (-14.7) | 130.4 (-24.4) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | BRWN 76 – 58 UNH |
| Nov 15, 2023 | UNH 82 – 64 BRWN |
| Dec 22, 2022 | BRWN 67 – 51 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 9-18 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 3-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 1-16 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -11.3 (#331) | -7.0 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#291) | -2.77 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.89 (#316) | -4.36 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#224) | 0.314 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.1% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.6% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 12.4% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.8% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.2% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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