Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Over |
| Money | STAN -365 SCU +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +12 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | STAN -12.9 (-24.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -10.0 (-22.0) | 156.1 (+9.9) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -10.2 (-22.2) | 151.1 (+14.9) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -8.3 (-20.3) | 148.6 (+17.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -5.6 (-17.6) | 153.4 (+12.6) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2024 | STAN 71 – 69 SCU |
| Nov 13, 2021 | SCU 88 – 72 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-6 |
| Home | 10-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#112) | 0.9 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#53) | 1.22 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#53) | 1.70 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.688 (#63) | 0.708 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 50.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 46.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.86 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 9.4% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 38.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 43.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 80.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.2% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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