You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
Leavey Center · November 13, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread STAN -2.0 Home covered
O/U 137.0 Over
Money SCU +130 / STAN -150
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCU win
Actual SCU +16 160 Won
Massey SCU -13.2 (+2.8)
Massey Totals 137.5 (+22.5)
Bradley-Terry 93%
Weighted B-T 96%
Baseline ML SCU -9.2 (+6.8) 141.1 (+18.9) 74%
Baseline Tuned ML SCU -7.7 (+8.3) 141.2 (+18.8) 75%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 24, 2024 STAN 7169 SCU
Nov 15, 2023 SCU 8977 STAN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCU STAN
Overall 21-12 16-16
Conference 10-5 8-12
Home 14-4 10-5
Away 5-6 3-9
Neutral 2-2 3-2
Last 5 1-0 1-0
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 77.3 66.4
Avg Pts Against 71.9 68.7
Massey -1.1 (#172) -0.6 (#161)
Bradley-Terry 0.28 (#141) 0.34 (#100)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.37 (#129) 0.46 (#92)
RPI
Shooting & Four Factors SCU STAN
FG% 56.7% 42.6%
3PT% 33.3% 28.6%
REB / G 24.0 36.0
OREB / G 9.0 11.0
AST / TO 2.38 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 60.8% 48.9%
TOV% 12.3% 23.2%
ORB% 33.3% 37.9%
FT Rate 18.3% 34.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.2% 47.1%
Opp TOV% 23.5% 23.2%
DRB% 48.4% 78.1%
Opp FT Rate 22.0% 1.9%

Game Analysis

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