Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -125 STAN +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +2 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | STAN -1.8 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -3.2 (+1.2) | 141.4 (-1.4) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -0.2 (-1.8) | 145.6 (-5.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -0.7 (-1.3) | 149.1 (-9.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -3.6 (+1.6) | 144.9 (-4.9) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2023 | SCU 89 – 77 STAN |
| Nov 13, 2021 | SCU 88 – 72 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 17-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#148) | 9.3 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#228) | 2.44 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#238) | 3.74 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#201) | 0.685 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 12.8% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 39.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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