You have to let that raga drop. "Rock the Casbah" - The Clash
Daskalakis Athletic Center · November 15, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread DREX -2.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money DREX -138 / TEM +150
Model Predictions
Spread Total DREX win
Actual TEM +2 130 Lost
Massey DREX -6.1 (-8.1)
Massey Totals 146.9 (-16.9)
Bradley-Terry 80%
Weighted B-T 82%
Baseline Plus ML DREX -3.2 (-5.2) 142.4 (-12.4) 63%
Baseline ML DREX -3.8 (-5.8) 142.5 (-12.5) 61%
Baseline Tuned ML DREX -3.6 (-5.6) 142.5 (-12.5) 60%
Efficiency Plus ML DREX -1.0 (-3.0) 142.7 (-12.7) 55%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 13, 2024 TEM 6961 DREX
Nov 27, 2022 TEM 7361 DREX

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DREX TEM
Overall 20-12 16-20
Conference 13-5 5-13
Home 13-1 5-9
Away 6-10 5-7
Neutral 1-1 6-4
Last 5 1-1 2-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.9 70.5
Avg Pts Against 67.1 73.4
Massey 2.6 (#121) 7.2 (#47)
Bradley-Terry 1.19 (#59) 1.79 (#26)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.43 (#72) 2.46 (#30)
RPI 0.585 (#101) 0.438 (#221)
Shooting & Four Factors DREX TEM
FG% 42.7% 42.1%
3PT% 24.3% 31.4%
REB / G 35.5 42.0
OREB / G 12.5 12.5
AST / TO 1.35 1.20
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.6% 48.8%
TOV% 15.4% 14.2%
ORB% 35.2% 34.2%
FT Rate 22.2% 34.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.5% 43.8%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 18.3%
DRB% 70.8% 71.1%
Opp FT Rate 34.6% 22.3%

Game Analysis

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