Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | TEM -450 DREX +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -4.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (+0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -2.6 (+9.4) | 136.5 (-2.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -2.6 (+9.4) | 136.9 (-2.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -3.4 (+8.6) | 136.7 (-2.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -2.1 (+9.9) | 136.6 (-2.6) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2024 | TEM 69 – 61 DREX |
| Nov 15, 2023 | TEM 66 – 64 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#208) | 1.0 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#300) | -0.50 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#276) | 0.06 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#227) | 0.464 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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