Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
Temple Owls
69 61
FINAL Big 5 Classic
Drexel Dragons
Liacouras Center · November 13, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread TEM -10.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money TEM -750 / DREX +475
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEM win
Actual TEM +8 130 Won
Massey TEM -14.9 (-6.9)
Massey Totals 148.8 (-18.8)
Bradley-Terry 93%
Weighted B-T 97%
Baseline ML TEM -13.1 (-5.1) 145.3 (-15.3) 83%
Baseline Tuned ML TEM -10.1 (-2.1) 143.5 (-13.5) 80%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 15, 2023 TEM 6664 DREX
Nov 27, 2022 TEM 7361 DREX

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEM DREX
Overall 17-15 18-15
Conference 9-9 9-9
Home 12-2 8-6
Away 3-9 7-7
Neutral 2-4 3-2
Last 5 2-0 1-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.7 69.6
Avg Pts Against 77.6 67.6
Massey 6.0 (#66) 2.0 (#131)
Bradley-Terry 1.05 (#74) 0.47 (#139)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.52 (#66) 0.67 (#136)
RPI 0.469 (#215)
Shooting & Four Factors TEM DREX
FG% 50.8% 42.9%
3PT% 42.0% 43.3%
REB / G 37.5 44.0
OREB / G 9.0 8.0
AST / TO 1.41 1.25
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 59.6% 54.5%
TOV% 14.7% 17.9%
ORB% 27.7% 25.8%
FT Rate 34.2% 21.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 42.6% 36.7%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 7.7%
DRB% 65.5% 83.7%
Opp FT Rate 21.5% 20.0%

Game Analysis

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