Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
Hope Coliseum · November 15, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WVU -7.5 Home covered
O/U 135.5 Under
Money WVU -300 / JXST +300
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual WVU +13 127 Won
Massey WVU -10.2 (+2.8) — —
Massey Totals — 143.1 (-16.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WVU -5.7 (+7.3) 139.3 (-12.3) 68% ✓
Baseline ML WVU -8.0 (+5.0) 139.6 (-12.6) 67% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WVU -6.7 (+6.3) 137.8 (-10.8) 69% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU JXST
Overall 9-23 14-18
Conference 4-14 6-10
Home 9-9 8-7
Away 0-9 5-10
Neutral 0-5 1-1
Last 5 1-1 0-1
Streak L6 L4
Avg Pts For 69.8 67.2
Avg Pts Against 76.8 67.6
Massey -4.9 (#275) -4.4 (#268)
Bradley-Terry -1.24 (#305) -2.18 (#337)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.74 (#298) -2.84 (#332)
RPI 0.450 (#213) 0.250 (#287)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU JXST
FG% 33.1% 41.1%
3PT% 26.4% 33.3%
REB / G 40.0 37.0
OREB / G 16.0 15.0
AST / TO 1.35 0.44
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 38.5% 45.5%
TOV% 12.6% 24.3%
ORB% 37.2% 41.7%
FT Rate 24.6% 50.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.9% 52.2%
Opp TOV% 13.9% 22.3%
DRB% 70.6% 57.9%
Opp FT Rate 14.2% 14.7%

Game Analysis

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